TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058909
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Foltynek
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61111710121214––
Vlastimil Matysek
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 70.2% is still 70.2%
Graded at full timeJiri Foltynek to win
70.2%
70.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Foltynek above · Vlastimil Matysek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 83 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Jiri Foltynek at 70.2%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Foltynek 5–0 Vlastimil Matysek Vlastimil Matysek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:04What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Foltynek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Foltynek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Foltynek 1088 vs Matysek 1138
Matysek
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Foltynek 20% vs Matysek 40%
Matysek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Foltynek 30% vs Matysek 50%
Matysek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Foltynek -1 · Matysek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Foltynek) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matysek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFoltynek 1.30 / Matysek 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 27%
Edge (Foltynek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058909
Foltynek1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Matysek3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeFoltynek5wins
AwayMatysek0wins
Foltynek leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFoltynek100%5 of 5
AwayMatysekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Foltynek5Matysek0n = 5Foltynek took 5 of 5
S2Foltynek4Matysek1n = 5Foltynek took 4 of 5
S3Foltynek5Matysek0n = 5Foltynek took 5 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home480%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricFoltynekMatysekF − MBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match34.623.0+11.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFoltynekMatysekBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 151 vs 22 / 5641.1%39.3%62 / 151 vs 22 / 56Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.934.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FoltynekFoltynek 1.30/Matysek 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.5%
Foltynek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Matysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 1 · 12:30J. Foltynek—1111113V. Matysek—6860
WMar 3 · 10:28J. Foltynek—1111113V. Matysek—3850
WMar 3 · 07:30J. Foltynek—11711113V. Matysek—811781
WOct 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek—1111103V. Matysek—6770
WSep 22 · 06:00J. Foltynek—1112123V. Matysek—510100
J. Foltynek10
WSep 1 · 12:30J. Foltynek1.331111113V. Matysek3.256860LSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113WSep 1 · 10:00L. Martinec2.2011861172J. Foltynek1.61511118113LAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470LAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113LAug 26 · 14:00S. Blabla1.831191311113J. Foltynek1.8341115852WAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113WAug 15 · 12:30I. Palmi1.5011119392J. Foltynek2.50671111113LAug 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek2.63791181J. Toth1.4411116113
V. Matysek10
LSep 1 · 12:30J. Foltynek1.331111113V. Matysek3.256860WSep 1 · 11:30V. Matysek2.101111123L. Martinec1.6728100WSep 1 · 10:30J. Motak2.257970V. Matysek1.571111113LApr 20 · 17:00V. Matysek1.859101161P. Romba1.8511128113LApr 20 · 16:30V. Matysek1.837450A. Jancak1.831111113LApr 20 · 15:00V. Matysek1.9110101161L. Martinec1.8012129113WApr 20 · 14:00P. Romba1.736101161V. Matysek2.0011125113LMar 3 · 10:28J. Foltynek—1111113V. Matysek—3850WMar 3 · 09:00J. Motak1.538560V. Matysek2.381111113WMar 3 · 08:00S. Mareda1.80911691V. Matysek1.9111911113
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