TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052708
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Foltynek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10125111210118911
Jiri Motak
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Foltynek to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Foltynek above · Jiri Motak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Foltynek at 55.5%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Foltynek 21–28 Jiri Motak Jiri Foltynek has won 21 of their 49 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Motak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-28 in 49
Motak
Correct
gap of 7 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Foltynek 1086 vs Motak 937
Foltynek
Wrong
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Foltynek 20% vs Motak 0%
Foltynek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Foltynek 40% vs Motak 0%
Foltynek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Foltynek +1 · Motak -5
Motak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Motak) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Motak form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFoltynek 2.10 / Motak 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Motak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052708
Foltynek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 21 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back30% 9 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Motak1.67
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 12 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFoltynek5wins
AwayMotak5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFoltynek50%2 of 4
AwayMotak50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Foltynek4Motak6n = 10Motak took 6 of 10
S2Foltynek6Motak4n = 10Foltynek took 6 of 10
S3Foltynek2Motak8n = 10Motak took 8 of 10
S4Foltynek4Motak5n = 9Motak took 5 of 9
S5Foltynek4Motak1n = 5Foltynek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFoltynekMotakF − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.542.8−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFoltynekMotakBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 149 vs 46 / 12440.9%37.1%61 / 149 vs 46 / 124Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.834.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MotakFoltynek 2.10/Motak 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Motak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Motak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 20 · 11:30J. Foltynek—1111511123J. Motak—139114102
WJun 30 · 11:00J. Foltynek—61211113J. Motak—1110851
LJun 17 · 13:00J. Foltynek—911761J. Motak—11711113
LJun 17 · 12:30J. Foltynek—812791J. Motak—111011113
WJun 11 · 12:30J. Foltynek—11101011113J. Motak—71212952
WMay 31 · 15:30J. Foltynek—131188123J. Motak—1151111102
WMay 12 · 11:30J. Foltynek—511119113J. Motak—11781192
LMar 31 · 16:30J. Foltynek—118891J. Motak—61111113
LMar 10 · 18:12J. Foltynek—75100J. Motak—1111123
LMar 10 · 17:30J. Foltynek—12951192J. Motak—1011119113
J. Foltynek10
LSep 1 · 13:30J. Foltynek1.3061110121V. Matysek3.4011712143WSep 1 · 12:30J. Foltynek1.331111113V. Matysek3.256860WSep 1 · 10:00L. Martinec2.2011861172J. Foltynek1.61511118113LAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470LAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113LAug 26 · 14:00S. Blabla1.831191311113J. Foltynek1.8341115852WAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113WAug 15 · 12:30I. Palmi1.5011119392J. Foltynek2.50671111113LAug 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek2.63791181J. Toth1.4411116113
J. Motak10
LSep 1 · 12:58L. Martinec1.44511711113J. Motak2.6311711592LSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192LSep 1 · 10:30J. Motak2.257970V. Matysek1.571111113LJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101LJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:30J. Motak1.61139114102J. Foltynek2.201111511123LJul 20 · 10:30M. Derco1.671111113J. Motak2.103520LJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.758660LJun 30 · 12:30J. Motak1.8091280L. Martinec1.911114113LJun 30 · 11:00J. Motak1.571110851J. Foltynek2.2561211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.