TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058966
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukas Martinec
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511117711115119
Jiri Motak
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Martinec above · Jiri Motak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 88 set 5, 11-9
88 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinec 11–3 Jiri Motak Jiri Motak has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Martinec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Motak form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinec 1.44 / Motak 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Martinec)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058966
Martinec1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 11 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Motak2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 9 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartinec8wins
AwayMotak2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMartinec leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinec100%7 of 7
AwayMotak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinec7Motak3n = 10Martinec took 7 of 10
S2Martinec6Motak4n = 10Martinec took 6 of 10
S3Martinec6Motak4n = 10Martinec took 6 of 10
S4Martinec4Motak0n = 4Martinec took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartinecMotakMartinec − MotakBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.330.0+5.3per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinecMotakBasisWin rate · lifetime16 / 47 vs 47 / 12634%37.3%16 / 47 vs 47 / 126Avg sets wonper match1.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.534.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinecMartinec 1.44/Motak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Martinec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Martinec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec—12131113113J. Motak—141541192
WJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec—11511123J. Motak—6116101
WJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec—1111113J. Motak—6540
WJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec—1111113J. Motak—8660
WJun 30 · 12:30L. Martinec—1114113J. Motak—91280
LMay 12 · 12:59L. Martinec—8760J. Motak—1111113
WMay 12 · 10:00L. Martinec—1111113J. Motak—6880
LMay 5 · 12:59L. Martinec—2690J. Motak—1111113
WMay 5 · 12:30L. Martinec—11116113J. Motak—771151
WMay 1 · 11:00L. Martinec—11119113J. Motak—871161
L. Martinec10
WSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192LSep 1 · 11:30V. Matysek2.101111123L. Martinec1.6728100LSep 1 · 10:00L. Martinec2.2011861172J. Foltynek1.61511118113WJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101WJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:00L. Martinec2.75126612122M. Derco1.4010111110143LJul 20 · 10:00J. Foltynek1.53118411113L. Martinec2.3871111562WJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.758660WJun 30 · 12:30J. Motak1.8091280L. Martinec1.911114113LJun 30 · 11:30L. Martinec2.751051191I. Palmi1.4012116113
J. Motak10
LSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192WSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113LSep 1 · 10:30J. Motak2.257970V. Matysek1.571111113LJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101LJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:30J. Motak1.61139114102J. Foltynek2.201111511123LJul 20 · 10:30M. Derco1.671111113J. Motak2.103520LJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.758660LJun 30 · 12:30J. Motak1.8091280L. Martinec1.911114113LJun 30 · 11:00J. Motak1.571110851J. Foltynek2.2561211113
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