TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052710
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Motak
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Vlastimil Matysek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 65.8% is still 65.8%
Graded at full timeVlastimil Matysek to win
65.8%
65.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Motak above · Vlastimil Matysek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Vlastimil Matysek at 65.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Motak 0–2 Vlastimil Matysek Jiri Motak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Matysek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Motak 937 vs Matysek 1145
Matysek
Correct
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Motak 0% vs Matysek 20%
Matysek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Motak 10% vs Matysek 50%
Matysek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Motak -5 · Matysek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Matysek) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matysek form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMotak 2.25 / Matysek 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Matysek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052710
Motak2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 9 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Matysek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMotak0wins
AwayMatysek2wins
Matysek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricMotakMatysekMotak − MatysekBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMotakMatysekBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 124 vs 22 / 5637.1%39.3%46 / 124 vs 22 / 56Avg sets wonper match1.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.134.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatysekMotak 2.25/Matysek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Matysek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Matysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 1 · 10:30J. Motak—7970V. Matysek—1111113
LMar 3 · 09:00J. Motak—8560V. Matysek—1111113
J. Motak10
LSep 1 · 12:58L. Martinec1.44511711113J. Motak2.6311711592LSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192WSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113LJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101LJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:30J. Motak1.61139114102J. Foltynek2.201111511123LJul 20 · 10:30M. Derco1.671111113J. Motak2.103520LJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.758660LJun 30 · 12:30J. Motak1.8091280L. Martinec1.911114113LJun 30 · 11:00J. Motak1.571110851J. Foltynek2.2561211113
V. Matysek10
WSep 1 · 13:30J. Foltynek1.3061110121V. Matysek3.4011712143LSep 1 · 12:30J. Foltynek1.331111113V. Matysek3.256860WSep 1 · 11:30V. Matysek2.101111123L. Martinec1.6728100LApr 20 · 17:00V. Matysek1.859101161P. Romba1.8511128113LApr 20 · 16:30V. Matysek1.837450A. Jancak1.831111113LApr 20 · 15:00V. Matysek1.9110101161L. Martinec1.8012129113WApr 20 · 14:00P. Romba1.736101161V. Matysek2.0011125113LMar 3 · 10:28J. Foltynek—1111113V. Matysek—3850WMar 3 · 09:00J. Motak1.538560V. Matysek2.381111113WMar 3 · 08:00S. Mareda1.80911691V. Matysek1.9111911113
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