TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13053069
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Foltynek
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118116––––
Vlastimil Matysek
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeJiri Foltynek to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Foltynek above · Vlastimil Matysek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Foltynek at 72.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Foltynek 5–0 Vlastimil Matysek Vlastimil Matysek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Foltynek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Foltynek
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Foltynek 1088 vs Matysek 1138
Matysek
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Foltynek 20% vs Matysek 40%
Matysek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Foltynek 30% vs Matysek 50%
Matysek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Foltynek -1 · Matysek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Foltynek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Foltynek form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFoltynek 1.33 / Matysek 3.25
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Foltynek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13053069
Foltynek1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Matysek3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeFoltynek5wins
AwayMatysek0wins
Foltynek leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFoltynek100%5 of 5
AwayMatysekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Foltynek5Matysek0n = 5Foltynek took 5 of 5
S2Foltynek4Matysek1n = 5Foltynek took 4 of 5
S3Foltynek5Matysek0n = 5Foltynek took 5 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home480%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricFoltynekMatysekF − MBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match34.623.0+11.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFoltynekMatysekBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 151 vs 22 / 5641.1%39.3%62 / 151 vs 22 / 56Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.934.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FoltynekFoltynek 1.33/Matysek 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Foltynek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Foltynek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 1 · 12:30J. Foltynek—1111113V. Matysek—6860
WMar 3 · 10:28J. Foltynek—1111113V. Matysek—3850
WMar 3 · 07:30J. Foltynek—11711113V. Matysek—811781
WOct 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek—1111103V. Matysek—6770
WSep 22 · 06:00J. Foltynek—1112123V. Matysek—510100
J. Foltynek10
LSep 1 · 13:30J. Foltynek1.3061110121V. Matysek3.4011712143LSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113WSep 1 · 10:00L. Martinec2.2011861172J. Foltynek1.61511118113LAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470LAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113LAug 26 · 14:00S. Blabla1.831191311113J. Foltynek1.8341115852WAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113WAug 15 · 12:30I. Palmi1.5011119392J. Foltynek2.50671111113LAug 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek2.63791181J. Toth1.4411116113
V. Matysek10
WSep 1 · 13:30J. Foltynek1.3061110121V. Matysek3.4011712143WSep 1 · 11:30V. Matysek2.101111123L. Martinec1.6728100WSep 1 · 10:30J. Motak2.257970V. Matysek1.571111113LApr 20 · 17:00V. Matysek1.859101161P. Romba1.8511128113LApr 20 · 16:30V. Matysek1.837450A. Jancak1.831111113LApr 20 · 15:00V. Matysek1.9110101161L. Martinec1.8012129113WApr 20 · 14:00P. Romba1.736101161V. Matysek2.0011125113LMar 3 · 10:28J. Foltynek—1111113V. Matysek—3850WMar 3 · 09:00J. Motak1.538560V. Matysek2.381111113WMar 3 · 08:00S. Mareda1.80911691V. Matysek1.9111911113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.