TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434211
Played Aug 15Finished
Ivo Palmi
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116117911311911
Jiri Foltynek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeIvo Palmi to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvo Palmi above · Jiri Foltynek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ivo Palmi at 63.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Palmi 14–9 Jiri Foltynek Jiri Foltynek has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Palmi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Palmi
Wrong
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Palmi 1126 vs Foltynek 1116
Palmi
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palmi 40% vs Foltynek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palmi 50% vs Foltynek 30%
Palmi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Palmi -1 · Foltynek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Palmi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palmi form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalmi 1.50 / Foltynek 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Palmi)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434211
Palmi1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 10 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Foltynek2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 21 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePalmi6wins
AwayFoltynek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPalmi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePalmi71.4%5 of 7
AwayFoltynek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palmi7Foltynek3n = 10Palmi took 7 of 10
S2Palmi7Foltynek3n = 10Palmi took 7 of 10
S3Palmi5Foltynek5n = 10split evenly
S4Palmi2Foltynek3n = 5Foltynek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPalmiFoltynekP − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.132.5+4.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPalmiFoltynekBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 141 vs 58 / 14240.4%40.9%57 / 141 vs 58 / 142Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PalmiPalmi 1.50/Foltynek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.5%
Palmi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Foltynek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 11:00I. Palmi—1111113J. Foltynek—9760
LJul 17 · 13:30I. Palmi—1013891J. Foltynek—121111113
LJul 17 · 12:30I. Palmi—11148972J. Foltynek—7121111113
LJun 30 · 13:30I. Palmi—116981J. Foltynek—81111113
WJun 30 · 12:00I. Palmi—1111113J. Foltynek—7460
LJun 17 · 10:30I. Palmi—10880J. Foltynek—1211113
WSep 2 · 13:07I. Palmi—116711133J. Foltynek—911115112
WSep 2 · 10:00I. Palmi—1111113J. Foltynek—5360
WJun 28 · 16:58I. Palmi—1111113J. Foltynek—6770
WJun 28 · 16:30I. Palmi—91111113J. Foltynek—119941
I. Palmi10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640LSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781WSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113WAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470WAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:30I. Palmi1.83611691S. Blabla1.8311811113WAug 26 · 14:30A. Kanak1.67911811102I. Palmi2.10116117123LAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152LAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi2.50861171M. Stolba1.5011115113
J. Foltynek10
LSep 1 · 13:30J. Foltynek1.3061110121V. Matysek3.4011712143WSep 1 · 12:30J. Foltynek1.331111113V. Matysek3.256860LSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113WSep 1 · 10:00L. Martinec2.2011861172J. Foltynek1.61511118113LAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470LAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113LAug 26 · 14:00S. Blabla1.831191311113J. Foltynek1.8341115852WAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113LAug 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek2.63791181J. Toth1.4411116113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.