TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052711
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukas Martinec
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811611118711
Jiri Foltynek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinec to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Martinec above · Jiri Foltynek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Lukas Martinec at 60.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinec 0–4 Jiri Foltynek Lukas Martinec has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Foltynek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Foltynek
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinec 1081 vs Foltynek 1075
Martinec
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinec 60% vs Foltynek 20%
Martinec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinec 40% vs Foltynek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinec +2 · Foltynek -4
Foltynek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Foltynek) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Foltynek form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinec 2.20 / Foltynek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Foltynek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052711
Martinec2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog13% won 2 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Foltynek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMartinec0wins
AwayFoltynek4wins
2 of 4 to a deciderFoltynek leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinecn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayFoltynek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinec0Foltynek4n = 4Foltynek took 4 of 4
S2Martinec3Foltynek1n = 4Martinec took 3 of 4
S3Martinec1Foltynek3n = 4Foltynek took 3 of 4
S4Martinec1Foltynek2n = 3Foltynek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMartinecFoltynekM − FBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match39.045.8−6.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinecFoltynekBasisWin rate · lifetime15 / 44 vs 60 / 14834.1%40.5%15 / 44 vs 60 / 148Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FoltynekMartinec 2.20/Foltynek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Foltynek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Foltynek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 20 · 10:00L. Martinec—71111562J. Foltynek—118411113
LJun 30 · 10:30L. Martinec—131160J. Foltynek—1513113
LMay 12 · 12:30L. Martinec—13115121J. Foltynek—15811143
LMar 31 · 15:30L. Martinec—411111272J. Foltynek—1161310113
L. Martinec10
WSep 1 · 12:58L. Martinec1.44511711113J. Motak2.6311711592WSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192LSep 1 · 11:30V. Matysek2.101111123L. Martinec1.6728100WJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101WJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:00L. Martinec2.75126612122M. Derco1.4010111110143LJul 20 · 10:00J. Foltynek1.53118411113L. Martinec2.3871111562WJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.758660WJun 30 · 12:30J. Motak1.8091280L. Martinec1.911114113LJun 30 · 11:30L. Martinec2.751051191I. Palmi1.4012116113
J. Foltynek10
LSep 1 · 13:30J. Foltynek1.3061110121V. Matysek3.4011712143WSep 1 · 12:30J. Foltynek1.331111113V. Matysek3.256860LSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113LAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470LAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113LAug 26 · 14:00S. Blabla1.831191311113J. Foltynek1.8341115852WAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113WAug 15 · 12:30I. Palmi1.5011119392J. Foltynek2.50671111113WJul 20 · 10:00J. Foltynek1.53118411113L. Martinec2.3871111562
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