TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052615
Played Sep 1Finished
Vlastimil Matysek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1121181210––––
Lukas Martinec
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:45 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinec to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVlastimil Matysek above · Lukas Martinec below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Lukas Martinec at 55.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vlastimil Matysek 0–1 Lukas Martinec Vlastimil Matysek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:45What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Martinec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Matysek 1145 vs Martinec 1068
Matysek
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matysek 40% vs Martinec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matysek 50% vs Martinec 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Matysek +1 · Martinec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Martinec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinec form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatysek 2.10 / Martinec 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Martinec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052615
Matysek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Martinec1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 11 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMatysek0wins
AwayMartinec1wins
Martinec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMatysekMartinecMatysek − MartinecBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match37.044.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatysekMartinecBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 56 vs 15 / 4539.3%33.3%22 / 56 vs 15 / 45Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match34.534.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinecMatysek 2.10/Martinec 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Martinec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Matysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 20 · 15:00V. Matysek—10101161L. Martinec—12129113
V. Matysek10
WSep 1 · 13:30J. Foltynek1.3061110121V. Matysek3.4011712143LSep 1 · 12:30J. Foltynek1.331111113V. Matysek3.256860WSep 1 · 10:30J. Motak2.257970V. Matysek1.571111113LApr 20 · 17:00V. Matysek1.859101161P. Romba1.8511128113LApr 20 · 16:30V. Matysek1.837450A. Jancak1.831111113LApr 20 · 15:00V. Matysek1.9110101161L. Martinec1.8012129113WApr 20 · 14:00P. Romba1.736101161V. Matysek2.0011125113LMar 3 · 10:28J. Foltynek—1111113V. Matysek—3850WMar 3 · 09:00J. Motak1.538560V. Matysek2.381111113WMar 3 · 08:00S. Mareda1.80911691V. Matysek1.9111911113
L. Martinec10
WSep 1 · 12:58L. Martinec1.44511711113J. Motak2.6311711592WSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192LSep 1 · 10:00L. Martinec2.2011861172J. Foltynek1.61511118113WJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101WJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:00L. Martinec2.75126612122M. Derco1.4010111110143LJul 20 · 10:00J. Foltynek1.53118411113L. Martinec2.3871111562WJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.758660WJun 30 · 12:30J. Motak1.8091280L. Martinec1.911114113WApr 20 · 15:00V. Matysek1.9110101161L. Martinec1.8012129113
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