TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036693
Played Aug 29Finished
Miroslav Stolba
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111311911116811
Alois Kanak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlois Kanak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Stolba above · Alois Kanak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Alois Kanak at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Stolba 1–2 Alois Kanak Miroslav Stolba has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolba 1114 vs Kanak 1132
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolba 0% vs Kanak 80%
Kanak
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolba 40% vs Kanak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolba -5 · Kanak +2
Stolba
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolba 2.00 / Kanak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kanak)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036693
Stolba2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Kanak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite44% won 27 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it67% 22 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStolba1wins
AwayKanak2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKanak leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolba2Kanak1n = 3Stolba took 2 of 3
S2Stolba0Kanak3n = 3Kanak took 3 of 3
S3Stolba2Kanak1n = 3Stolba took 2 of 3
S4Stolba0Kanak3n = 3Kanak took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStolbaKanakS − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.344.7−3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolbaKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 102 vs 110 / 23949%46%50 / 102 vs 110 / 239Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakStolba 2.00/Kanak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 18 · 19:30M. Stolba—149118113A. Kanak—121181162
LJun 27 · 08:30M. Stolba—1161281A. Kanak—131110113
LFeb 7 · 15:30M. Stolba—1181141A. Kanak—61113113
M. Stolba10
WAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530LAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171LAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113LAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113LAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152WAug 15 · 12:00J. Toth1.6711114842M. Stolba2.10991111113WAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi2.50861171M. Stolba1.5011115113
A. Kanak10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113LAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113WAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113WAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113
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