TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020634
Played Aug 27Finished
Miroslav Stolba
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119211611––
Zdenek Luksa
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Stolba to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Stolba above · Zdenek Luksa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Miroslav Stolba at 56.5%
67 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Stolba 3–3 Zdenek Luksa Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stolba
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolba 1166 vs Luksa 1248
Luksa
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolba 80% vs Luksa 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolba 50% vs Luksa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolba -1 · Luksa +4
Luksa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stolba) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Luksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolba 1.67 / Luksa 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Stolba)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020634
Stolba1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 14 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Luksa2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStolba3wins
AwayLuksa3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolban = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLuksa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolba2Luksa4n = 6Luksa took 4 of 6
S2Stolba3Luksa3n = 6split evenly
S3Stolba4Luksa2n = 6Stolba took 4 of 6
S4Stolba0Luksa4n = 4Luksa took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricStolbaLuksaS − LBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match33.839.3−5.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolbaLuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 98 vs 49 / 10151%48.5%50 / 98 vs 49 / 101Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolbaStolba 1.67/Luksa 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Stolba · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Luksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba—611261Z. Luksa—11911113
WJul 18 · 21:30M. Stolba—1111113Z. Luksa—8690
LJul 18 · 20:30M. Stolba—11430Z. Luksa—1311113
WApr 7 · 08:30M. Stolba—118116123Z. Luksa—911711102
WMar 24 · 09:00M. Stolba—711144113Z. Luksa—116121152
LFeb 27 · 13:00M. Stolba—1031181Z. Luksa—12119113
M. Stolba10
WAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113LAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530LAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171LAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113LAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152WAug 15 · 12:00J. Toth1.6711114842M. Stolba2.10991111113WAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi2.50861171M. Stolba1.5011115113
Z. Luksa10
LAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791WAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.8071112762Z. Luksa1.911181011113WAug 23 · 07:00A. Kanak1.75121330Z. Luksa1.851415113LAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113LAug 10 · 08:58J. Toth3.5091111113Z. Luksa1.28117941WAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672LAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113
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