TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030133
Played Aug 27Finished
Zdenek Luksa
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811811––––
David Vavrecka
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeZdenek Luksa to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Luksa above · David Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Zdenek Luksa at 63.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Luksa 7–4 David Vavrecka David Vavrecka has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (59%)
Luksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Luksa
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Luksa 1221 vs Vavrecka 1187
Luksa
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Luksa 80% vs Vavrecka 40%
Luksa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Luksa 60% vs Vavrecka 30%
Luksa
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Luksa -1 · Vavrecka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Luksa) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Luksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLuksa 1.53 / Vavrecka 2.20
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Luksa)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030133
Luksa1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 20 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Vavrecka2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 10 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLuksa6wins
AwayVavrecka4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLuksa leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLuksa83.3%5 of 6
AwayVavrecka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Luksa6Vavrecka4n = 10Luksa took 6 of 10
S2Luksa4Vavrecka6n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S3Luksa5Vavrecka5n = 10split evenly
S4Luksa4Vavrecka3n = 7Luksa took 4 of 7
S5Luksa2Vavrecka1n = 3Luksa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLuksaVavreckaL − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.239.0+0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLuksaVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 102 vs 54 / 12048%45%49 / 102 vs 54 / 120Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LuksaLuksa 1.53/Vavrecka 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.6%
Luksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa—12711113D. Vavrecka—1011791
WAug 23 · 08:00Z. Luksa—1181011113D. Vavrecka—71112762
LAug 10 · 06:00Z. Luksa—81070D. Vavrecka—1112113
WAug 9 · 08:59Z. Luksa—11126113D. Vavrecka—7101141
WAug 9 · 06:30Z. Luksa—91113123D. Vavrecka—11911101
WMay 1 · 17:30Z. Luksa—1212113D. Vavrecka—101080
LMay 1 · 15:30Z. Luksa—8760D. Vavrecka—1111113
LApr 25 · 21:30Z. Luksa—11713942D. Vavrecka—4111111113
LApr 25 · 19:00Z. Luksa—13121161D. Vavrecka—15149113
WMar 7 · 19:00Z. Luksa—111187113D. Vavrecka—98111162
Z. Luksa10
LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192WAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791WAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.8071112762Z. Luksa1.911181011113WAug 23 · 07:00A. Kanak1.75121330Z. Luksa1.851415113LAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113LAug 10 · 08:58J. Toth3.5091111113Z. Luksa1.28117941WAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672LAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791LAug 23 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.8071112762Z. Luksa1.911181011113
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