TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12475594
Played Aug 23Finished
Zdenek Luksa
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911115711118811
Josef Toth
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeZdenek Luksa to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
911115711118811
H2H Zdenek Luksa 9–4 Josef Toth Josef Toth has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Luksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Luksa
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Luksa 1228 vs Toth 1202
Luksa
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Luksa 40% vs Toth 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Luksa 30% vs Toth 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Luksa -1 · Toth -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Luksa) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Luksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLuksa 1.40 / Toth 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Luksa)+5.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12475594
Luksa1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 22 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Toth2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 32 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLuksa7wins
AwayToth3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLuksa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLuksa66.7%4 of 6
AwayToth25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Luksa6Toth4n = 10Luksa took 6 of 10
S2Luksa5Toth5n = 10split evenly
S3Luksa7Toth3n = 10Luksa took 7 of 10
S4Luksa7Toth1n = 8Luksa took 7 of 8
S5Luksa1Toth2n = 3Toth took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLuksaTothL − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.434.9+5.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLuksaTothBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 99 vs 77 / 16847.5%45.8%47 / 99 vs 77 / 168Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LuksaLuksa 1.40/Toth 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.3%
Luksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Toth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 09:30Z. Luksa—11711113J. Toth—711331
LAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa—91171182J. Toth—115118113
LAug 10 · 08:58Z. Luksa—117941J. Toth—91111113
WAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa—751111113J. Toth—11118672
WMay 17 · 10:00Z. Luksa—1112113J. Toth—91070
WMay 7 · 10:00Z. Luksa—91111113J. Toth—114661
WMay 2 · 08:59Z. Luksa—91113113J. Toth—1191121
WMay 2 · 08:30Z. Luksa—1111113J. Toth—7990
WApr 25 · 20:30Z. Luksa—13911113J. Toth—1111671
LMar 24 · 08:30Z. Luksa—111171152J. Toth—813115113
Z. Luksa10
LAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192WAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791WAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.8071112762Z. Luksa1.911181011113WAug 23 · 07:00A. Kanak1.75121330Z. Luksa1.851415113LAug 10 · 08:58J. Toth3.5091111113Z. Luksa1.28117941WAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672LAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113
J. Toth10
LAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:30A. Kanak1.615980J. Toth2.201111113WAug 23 · 07:30J. Toth2.201111310113D. Vavrecka1.6189111242LAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113LAug 15 · 12:00J. Toth1.6711114842M. Stolba2.10991111113WAug 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek2.63791181J. Toth1.4411116113LAug 15 · 10:00J. Toth2.00781161I. Palmi1.7311116113WAug 10 · 08:58J. Toth3.5091111113Z. Luksa1.28117941LAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672WAug 10 · 07:30J. Toth2.251112310113D. Vavrecka1.57810111292
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