Josef Toth vs Zdenek Luksa 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12395267

Played Aug 10Finished

Josef Toth

Home

3.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

911117119114––

Zdenek Luksa

Away

1.29

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingJosef Toth above · Zdenek Luksa below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-4

Point 73 set 4, 11-4

73 points played in total.

H2H Josef Toth 2–8 Zdenek Luksa Josef Toth has won 2 of their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Luksa)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Luksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsToth 3.50 / Luksa 1.28

Signal prob.23% / 77%

Edge (Luksa)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12395267

Toth3.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog48% won 27 of 56

Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14

Luksa1.28

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As favourite57% won 21 of 37

Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12

Up 1–0, closes it84% 16 of 19

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeToth2wins

AwayLuksa8wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLuksa leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeToth25%1 of 4

AwayLuksa83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Toth4Luksa6n = 10Luksa took 6 of 10

S2Toth4Luksa6n = 10Luksa took 6 of 10

S3Toth3Luksa7n = 10Luksa took 7 of 10

S4Toth1Luksa6n = 7Luksa took 6 of 7

S5Toth1Luksa2n = 3Luksa took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricTothLuksaT − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.740.1−5.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTothLuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 159 vs 47 / 11045.3%42.7%72 / 159 vs 47 / 110Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Luksa

Toth 3.50/Luksa 1.28

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

77.1%

Luksa · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Toth won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 10 · 08:30J. Toth—11118672Z. Luksa—751111113

LMay 17 · 10:00J. Toth—91070Z. Luksa—1112113

LMay 7 · 10:00J. Toth—114661Z. Luksa—91111113

LMay 2 · 08:59J. Toth—1191121Z. Luksa—91113113

LMay 2 · 08:30J. Toth—7990Z. Luksa—1111113

LApr 25 · 20:30J. Toth—1111671Z. Luksa—13911113

WMar 24 · 08:30J. Toth—813115113Z. Luksa—111171152

LMar 1 · 15:00J. Toth—8790Z. Luksa—1111113

LFeb 27 · 14:30J. Toth—111111962Z. Luksa—136911113

WFeb 27 · 12:30J. Toth—11511113Z. Luksa—711941

J. Toth10

LAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113 WAug 23 · 08:30A. Kanak1.615980J. Toth2.201111113 WAug 23 · 07:30J. Toth2.201111310113D. Vavrecka1.6189111242 WAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113 LAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113 LAug 15 · 12:00J. Toth1.6711114842M. Stolba2.10991111113 WAug 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek2.63791181J. Toth1.4411116113 LAug 15 · 10:00J. Toth2.00781161I. Palmi1.7311116113 LAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672 WAug 10 · 07:30J. Toth2.251112310113D. Vavrecka1.57810111292

Z. Luksa10

LAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113 LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192 WAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113 WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791 WAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113 WAug 23 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.8071112762Z. Luksa1.911181011113 WAug 23 · 07:00A. Kanak1.75121330Z. Luksa1.851415113 LAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113 WAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672 LAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113

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