TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12390672
Played Aug 10Finished
Zdenek Luksa
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5114111210611––
Radek Adamczyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeZdenek Luksa to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Luksa above · Radek Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Zdenek Luksa at 55.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Luksa 3–3 Radek Adamczyk Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:08What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Luksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Luksa 1221 vs Adamczyk 1258
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Luksa 40% vs Adamczyk 60%
Adamczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Luksa 40% vs Adamczyk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Luksa -1 · Adamczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Adamczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Luksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLuksa 1.80 / Adamczyk 1.91
Signal prob.41% / 60%
Edge (Adamczyk)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12390672
Luksa1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 22 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Adamczyk1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back38% 8 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back30% 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLuksa3wins
AwayAdamczyk3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLuksan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamczyk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Luksa1Adamczyk5n = 6Adamczyk took 5 of 6
S2Luksa4Adamczyk2n = 6Luksa took 4 of 6
S3Luksa4Adamczyk2n = 6Luksa took 4 of 6
S4Luksa1Adamczyk3n = 4Adamczyk took 3 of 4
S5Luksa2Adamczyk1n = 3Luksa took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLuksaAdamczykL − ABasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match41.343.8−2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLuksaAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 111 vs 38 / 7642.3%50%47 / 111 vs 38 / 76Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykLuksa 1.80/Adamczyk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.5%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa—541261R. Adamczyk—111110113
LAug 9 · 08:30Z. Luksa—513111182R. Adamczyk—1111137113
WJul 18 · 19:00Z. Luksa—911116113R. Adamczyk—11751192
LMay 2 · 06:00Z. Luksa—7980R. Adamczyk—1111113
WMay 1 · 16:30Z. Luksa—1215143R. Adamczyk—1013120
WApr 25 · 18:00Z. Luksa—1120117113R. Adamczyk—131861182
Z. Luksa10
LAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192WAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791WAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.8071112762Z. Luksa1.911181011113WAug 23 · 07:00A. Kanak1.75121330Z. Luksa1.851415113LAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113LAug 10 · 08:58J. Toth3.5091111113Z. Luksa1.28117941WAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672
R. Adamczyk10
LAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113LAug 22 · 18:00D. Tyn1.501111113R. Adamczyk2.504350WAug 10 · 09:30R. Adamczyk1.7311911113D. Vavrecka2.00211641WAug 10 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.61661141R. Adamczyk2.2011119113WAug 10 · 06:30R. Adamczyk1.251111113J. Toth3.759640LAug 9 · 09:28P. Banot1.67111211113R. Adamczyk2.10514321WAug 9 · 08:30R. Adamczyk2.001111137113Z. Luksa1.73513111182WAug 9 · 07:00R. Adamczyk2.7571111143D. Vavrecka1.401155121
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