TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12391225
Played Aug 10Finished
David Vavrecka
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611119411––
Radek Adamczyk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:06 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Vavrecka to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Vavrecka above · Radek Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 69 set 4, 4-11 — our read held David Vavrecka at 57.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H David Vavrecka 3–1 Radek Adamczyk Radek Adamczyk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Vavrecka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1207 vs Adamczyk 1237
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 20% vs Adamczyk 80%
Adamczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 40% vs Adamczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -1 · Adamczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.61 / Adamczyk 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Vavrecka)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12391225
Vavrecka1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Adamczyk2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 16 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back38% 8 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back30% 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVavrecka3wins
AwayAdamczyk1wins
Vavrecka leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka66.7%2 of 3
AwayAdamczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka3Adamczyk1n = 4Vavrecka took 3 of 4
S2Vavrecka3Adamczyk1n = 4Vavrecka took 3 of 4
S3Vavrecka2Adamczyk2n = 4split evenly
S4Vavrecka2Adamczyk1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVavreckaAdamczykV − ABasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.234.0+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 131 vs 36 / 7447.3%48.7%62 / 131 vs 36 / 74Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.61/Adamczyk 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 9 · 07:00D. Vavrecka—1155121R. Adamczyk—71111143
WMay 1 · 14:00D. Vavrecka—71111113R. Adamczyk—116861
WApr 25 · 20:00D. Vavrecka—11117133R. Adamczyk—4811111
WApr 5 · 14:30D. Vavrecka—1112113R. Adamczyk—91090
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113WAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113WAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113
R. Adamczyk10
LAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113LAug 22 · 18:00D. Tyn1.501111113R. Adamczyk2.504350WAug 10 · 09:30R. Adamczyk1.7311911113D. Vavrecka2.00211641WAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113WAug 10 · 06:30R. Adamczyk1.251111113J. Toth3.759640LAug 9 · 09:28P. Banot1.67111211113R. Adamczyk2.10514321WAug 9 · 08:30R. Adamczyk2.001111137113Z. Luksa1.73513111182WAug 9 · 07:00R. Adamczyk2.7571111143D. Vavrecka1.401155121
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