TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12383584
Played Aug 9Finished
Radek Adamczyk
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111151151412––
David Vavrecka
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:55 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Vavrecka to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Adamczyk above · David Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 76 set 4, 14-12 — our read held David Vavrecka at 66.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Radek Adamczyk 3–3 David Vavrecka Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:55What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1258 vs Vavrecka 1190
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 0% vs Vavrecka 60%
Vavrecka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 30% vs Vavrecka 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk -5 · Vavrecka -1
Adamczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 2.75 / Vavrecka 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Vavrecka)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12383584
Adamczyk2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back38% 8 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back30% 3 of 10
Vavrecka1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 16 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeAdamczyk3wins
AwayVavrecka3wins
Level at 3–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczyk66.7%2 of 3
AwayVavrecka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk3Vavrecka3n = 6split evenly
S2Adamczyk2Vavrecka4n = 6Vavrecka took 4 of 6
S3Adamczyk3Vavrecka3n = 6split evenly
S4Adamczyk3Vavrecka2n = 5Adamczyk took 3 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricAdamczykVavreckaA − VBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match36.733.2+3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 76 vs 63 / 13750%46%38 / 76 vs 63 / 137Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.035.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaAdamczyk 2.75/Vavrecka 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 10 · 09:30R. Adamczyk—11911113D. Vavrecka—211641
WAug 10 · 08:00R. Adamczyk—11119113D. Vavrecka—661141
WAug 9 · 07:00R. Adamczyk—71111143D. Vavrecka—1155121
LMay 1 · 14:00R. Adamczyk—116861D. Vavrecka—71111113
LApr 25 · 20:00R. Adamczyk—4811111D. Vavrecka—11117133
LApr 5 · 14:30R. Adamczyk—91090D. Vavrecka—1112113
R. Adamczyk10
LAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113LAug 22 · 18:00D. Tyn1.501111113R. Adamczyk2.504350WAug 10 · 09:30R. Adamczyk1.7311911113D. Vavrecka2.00211641WAug 10 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.61661141R. Adamczyk2.2011119113WAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113WAug 10 · 06:30R. Adamczyk1.251111113J. Toth3.759640LAug 9 · 09:28P. Banot1.67111211113R. Adamczyk2.10514321WAug 9 · 08:30R. Adamczyk2.001111137113Z. Luksa1.73513111182
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 10 · 09:30R. Adamczyk1.7311911113D. Vavrecka2.00211641LAug 10 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.61661141R. Adamczyk2.2011119113
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