TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470459
Played Aug 22Finished
Radek Adamczyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117611711117119
Michal Blaha
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Blaha to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Adamczyk above · Michal Blaha below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Michal Blaha at 55.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Radek Adamczyk 5–7 Michal Blaha Radek Adamczyk has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:07What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Blaha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Blaha
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1246 vs Blaha 1136
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 60% vs Blaha 20%
Adamczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 60% vs Blaha 30%
Adamczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk -2 · Blaha -3
Blaha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blaha form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 2.00 / Blaha 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adamczyk)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470459
Adamczyk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back38% 8 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back30% 3 of 10
Blaha1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 28 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamczyk4wins
AwayBlaha6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBlaha leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczyk60%3 of 5
AwayBlaha80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk5Blaha5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamczyk4Blaha6n = 10Blaha took 6 of 10
S3Adamczyk6Blaha4n = 10Adamczyk took 6 of 10
S4Adamczyk4Blaha4n = 8split evenly
S5Adamczyk1Blaha3n = 4Blaha took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamczykBlahaA − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.443.3−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykBlahaBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 78 vs 89 / 17848.7%50%38 / 78 vs 89 / 178Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykAdamczyk 2.00/Blaha 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 4 · 20:30R. Adamczyk—101060M. Blaha—1212113
LAug 1 · 08:58R. Adamczyk—1151011112M. Blaha—811126133
WAug 1 · 07:00R. Adamczyk—16811113M. Blaha—1411691
WJul 26 · 13:29R. Adamczyk—891311143M. Blaha—1111115122
LJul 26 · 12:00R. Adamczyk—51111942M. Blaha—119611113
LJul 5 · 20:58R. Adamczyk—811941M. Blaha—11911113
WJul 5 · 20:30R. Adamczyk—1412113M. Blaha—121060
LJun 20 · 20:30R. Adamczyk—15119972M. Blaha—1391111113
LJun 13 · 17:30R. Adamczyk—9912111M. Blaha—111110133
WJun 13 · 16:00R. Adamczyk—111112143M. Blaha—51310121
R. Adamczyk10
LAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113LAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113LAug 22 · 18:00D. Tyn1.501111113R. Adamczyk2.504350WAug 10 · 09:30R. Adamczyk1.7311911113D. Vavrecka2.00211641WAug 10 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.61661141R. Adamczyk2.2011119113WAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113WAug 10 · 06:30R. Adamczyk1.251111113J. Toth3.759640LAug 9 · 09:28P. Banot1.67111211113R. Adamczyk2.10514321WAug 9 · 08:30R. Adamczyk2.001111137113Z. Luksa1.73513111182WAug 9 · 07:00R. Adamczyk2.7571111143D. Vavrecka1.401155121
M. Blaha10
WAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462LAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530WAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171WAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192LAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191WAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113LAug 22 · 19:30M. Blaha3.00144791D. Tyn1.36121111113
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