TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470524
Played Aug 22Finished
Radek Adamczyk
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1315119811119511
Vojtech Kocian
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:06 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Adamczyk above · Vojtech Kocian below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 0-3
Point 90 set 5, 0-3 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 66.3%
90 points drawn · the score is 13 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Radek Adamczyk 0–2 Vojtech Kocian Radek Adamczyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:06What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kocian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1245 vs Kocian 1357
Kocian
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 80% vs Kocian 40%
Adamczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 60% vs Kocian 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk -1 · Kocian +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kocian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocian form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 2.75 / Kocian 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kocian)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470524
Adamczyk2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back38% 8 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back30% 3 of 10
Kocian1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 48 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeAdamczyk0wins
AwayKocian2wins
Kocian leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricAdamczykKocianA − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match26.535.0−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykKocianBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 77 vs 81 / 15849.4%51.3%38 / 77 vs 81 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianAdamczyk 2.75/Kocian 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kocian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 4 · 18:00R. Adamczyk—8840V. Kocian—1111113
LAug 1 · 06:00R. Adamczyk—1041181V. Kocian—12113113
R. Adamczyk10
LAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 18:00D. Tyn1.501111113R. Adamczyk2.504350WAug 10 · 09:30R. Adamczyk1.7311911113D. Vavrecka2.00211641WAug 10 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.61661141R. Adamczyk2.2011119113WAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113WAug 10 · 06:30R. Adamczyk1.251111113J. Toth3.759640LAug 9 · 09:28P. Banot1.67111211113R. Adamczyk2.10514321WAug 9 · 08:30R. Adamczyk2.001111137113Z. Luksa1.73513111182WAug 9 · 07:00R. Adamczyk2.7571111143D. Vavrecka1.401155121
V. Kocian10
WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian1.57116761D. Tyn2.2551111113WAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn2.101111105122V. Kocian1.67981211143WAug 22 · 18:30V. Kocian1.501111113M. Blaha2.508860
Upcoming Matches
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