TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12475601
Played Aug 23Finished
Alois Kanak
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12141315311––––
Zdenek Luksa
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Luksa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
12141315311––––
H2H Alois Kanak 2–2 Zdenek Luksa Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:31What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (51%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1090 vs Luksa 1228
Luksa
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 20% vs Luksa 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 20% vs Luksa 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak -1 · Luksa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Luksa form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.75 / Luksa 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kanak)+2.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12475601
Kanak1.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite45% won 27 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 22 of 32
Luksa1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKanak2wins
AwayLuksa2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak2Luksa2n = 4split evenly
S2Kanak2Luksa2n = 4split evenly
S3Kanak2Luksa2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricKanakLuksaK − LBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match29.827.5+2.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakLuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 233 vs 47 / 9945.5%47.5%106 / 233 vs 47 / 99Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.75/Luksa 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Luksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 23 · 07:00A. Kanak—121330Z. Luksa—1415113
LJul 18 · 18:00A. Kanak—9770Z. Luksa—1111113
WMar 9 · 09:30A. Kanak—1111113Z. Luksa—4520
WFeb 23 · 19:00A. Kanak—1113113Z. Luksa—61190
A. Kanak10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113LAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113WAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113
Z. Luksa10
LAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192WAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791WAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.8071112762Z. Luksa1.911181011113LAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113LAug 10 · 08:58J. Toth3.5091111113Z. Luksa1.28117941WAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672LAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113
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