TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12475604
Played Aug 23Finished
Alois Kanak
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911811––––
Josef Toth
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Toth to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
511911811––––
H2H Alois Kanak 9–7 Josef Toth Josef Toth has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:28What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Kanak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1134 vs Toth 1158
Toth
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 20% vs Toth 40%
Toth
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 20% vs Toth 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Toth -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.61 / Toth 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kanak)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12475604
Kanak1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 27 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it67% 22 of 33
Toth2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 29 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanak5wins
AwayToth5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanak83.3%5 of 6
AwayToth100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak6Toth4n = 10Kanak took 6 of 10
S2Kanak7Toth3n = 10Kanak took 7 of 10
S3Kanak4Toth6n = 10Toth took 6 of 10
S4Kanak2Toth4n = 6Toth took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKanakTothK − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.133.6+2.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakTothBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 229 vs 74 / 16445.9%45.1%105 / 229 vs 74 / 164Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.61/Toth 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Toth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 12:58A. Kanak—1111113J. Toth—9840
LJul 26 · 12:30A. Kanak—10590J. Toth—1211113
WFeb 19 · 21:30A. Kanak—1111128113J. Toth—34141172
LFeb 10 · 09:58A. Kanak—71191272J. Toth—1131110113
LFeb 10 · 09:30A. Kanak—511971J. Toth—11811113
WOct 19 · 06:06A. Kanak—1111113J. Toth—9950
LOct 16 · 10:00A. Kanak—114881J. Toth—51111103
WOct 12 · 10:00A. Kanak—11911113J. Toth—711581
WOct 7 · 10:00A. Kanak—1111113J. Toth—8690
LSep 16 · 10:00A. Kanak—611981J. Toth—11811113
A. Kanak10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113LAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113WAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113
J. Toth10
LAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 07:30J. Toth2.201111310113D. Vavrecka1.6189111242WAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113LAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113LAug 15 · 12:00J. Toth1.6711114842M. Stolba2.10991111113WAug 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek2.63791181J. Toth1.4411116113LAug 15 · 10:00J. Toth2.00781161I. Palmi1.7311116113WAug 10 · 08:58J. Toth3.5091111113Z. Luksa1.28117941LAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672WAug 10 · 07:30J. Toth2.251112310113D. Vavrecka1.57810111292
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