TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434286
Played Aug 15Finished
Dalibor Kolek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111113711––––
Matyas Kolek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatyas Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Kolek above · Matyas Kolek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 59 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Matyas Kolek at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Kolek 1–3 Matyas Kolek Dalibor Kolek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:44What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kolek
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1251 vs Kolek 1351
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 40% vs Kolek 100%
Kolek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 20% vs Kolek 80%
Kolek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -1 · Kolek +5
Kolek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.10 / Kolek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kolek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434286
Kolek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kolek1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 48 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKolek1wins
AwayKolek3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderKolek leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKolek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek1Kolek3n = 4Kolek took 3 of 4
S2Kolek1Kolek3n = 4Kolek took 3 of 4
S3Kolek0Kolek4n = 4Kolek took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricKolekKolekKolek − KolekBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match38.242.5−4.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 28 vs 113 / 21532.1%52.6%9 / 28 vs 113 / 215Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 2.10/Kolek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 15 · 16:59D. Kolek—1191111143M. Kolek—911133122
LAug 15 · 14:00D. Kolek—61170M. Kolek—1113113
LAug 14 · 21:30D. Kolek—8750M. Kolek—1111113
LAug 14 · 18:00D. Kolek—7111212112M. Kolek—1161410133
D. Kolek10
LAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690LAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113WAug 28 · 18:30D. Kolek1.80101111123D. Tyn1.911247101WAug 15 · 16:59M. Kolek1.20911133122D. Kolek4.331191111143LAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113LAug 15 · 15:30M. Levicky1.801112103D. Kolek1.9161090LAug 14 · 21:30M. Kolek1.731111113D. Kolek2.008750WAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191WAug 14 · 19:30A. Schneeberger1.367111311102D. Kolek3.00118156123
M. Kolek10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152LSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892WSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952WSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LAug 30 · 09:30M. Kolek1.906580F. Zurek1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kolek2.2512114123F. Zurek1.5710811101LAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332WAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282LAug 15 · 16:59M. Kolek1.20911133122D. Kolek4.331191111143WAug 14 · 21:30M. Kolek1.731111113D. Kolek2.008750
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