TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434250
Played Aug 15Finished
Matej Levicky
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210109––––
Dalibor Kolek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Levicky above · Dalibor Kolek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-9
Point 58 set 3, 10-9 — our read held Matej Levicky at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Matej Levicky 1–0 Dalibor Kolek Dalibor Kolek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Levicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1352 vs Kolek 1251
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 40% vs Kolek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 50% vs Kolek 20%
Levicky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -1 · Kolek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Levicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.80 / Kolek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Levicky)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434250
Levicky1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 71 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 53 of 65
Kolek1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLevicky1wins
AwayKolek0wins
Levicky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLevickyKolekL − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.025.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 358 vs 9 / 2853.9%32.1%193 / 358 vs 9 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.80/Kolek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 15 · 15:30M. Levicky—1112103D. Kolek—61090
M. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890LSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790LAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113WAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152
D. Kolek10
LAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690LAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113WAug 28 · 18:30D. Kolek1.80101111123D. Tyn1.911247101WAug 15 · 16:59M. Kolek1.20911133122D. Kolek4.331191111143LAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113LAug 15 · 14:00D. Kolek2.1061170M. Kolek1.671113113LAug 14 · 21:30M. Kolek1.731111113D. Kolek2.008750WAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191WAug 14 · 19:30A. Schneeberger1.367111311102D. Kolek3.00118156123
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