TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030422
Played Aug 28Finished
Daniel Tyn
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117119411511811
Jaroslav Peter
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Peter to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tyn above · Jaroslav Peter below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jaroslav Peter at 57.7%
88 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tyn 0–2 Jaroslav Peter Daniel Tyn has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Peter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tyn 1265 vs Peter 1366
Peter
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tyn 60% vs Peter 80%
Peter
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tyn 40% vs Peter 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tyn -1 · Peter +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Peter) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peter form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTyn 2.25 / Peter 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Peter)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030422
Tyn2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 38 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Peter1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTyn0wins
AwayPeter2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPeter leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTynPeterT − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.047.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTynPeterBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 283 vs 35 / 9045.2%38.9%128 / 283 vs 35 / 90Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeterTyn 2.25/Peter 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Peter · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Peter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 28 · 19:30D. Tyn—11114582J. Peter—791111113
LJul 26 · 15:30D. Tyn—1211881J. Peter—101311113
D. Tyn10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152
J. Peter10
WAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690WAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 18:00J. Peter2.1061111123Z. Zientek1.671178101LAug 15 · 17:28J. Peter2.633101161M. Levicky1.4411127103WAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113WAug 15 · 15:00M. Kolek1.73391181J. Peter2.001111793WAug 15 · 14:30J. Peter2.631061111113M. Levicky1.4412118782LAug 14 · 21:00J. Peter1.8311117852A. Schneeberger1.83741111113LAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191LAug 14 · 19:00M. Kolek1.801111143J. Peter1.9186120
Upcoming Matches
D. Tyn
J. Peter
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