TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082513
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611711––––
Jan Briska
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJan Briska to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Jan Briska below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jan Briska at 58.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 0–1 Jan Briska Martin Stefek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:28What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Briska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1414 vs Briska 1396
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 0% vs Briska 40%
Briska
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 30% vs Briska 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -5 · Briska -1
Stefek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Briska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briska form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 2.25 / Briska 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Briska)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082513
Stefek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 187 of 430
Down 0–1, comes back23% 56 of 241
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 144
Briska1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStefek0wins
AwayBriska1wins
Briska leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStefekBriskaS − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.041.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekBriskaBasisWin rate · lifetime571 / 1189 vs 177 / 37148%47.7%571 / 1189 vs 177 / 371Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BriskaStefek 2.25/Briska 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Briska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Briska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMar 21 · 03:00M. Stefek—671161J. Briska—11118113
M. Stefek10
WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113LSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471
J. Briska10
WSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342WAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123LAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 30 · 10:00J. Briska1.831111133L. Havel1.8395110WMay 16 · 09:00L. Sulava1.911071141J. Briska1.8012115113LMay 16 · 08:00M. Tacinec2.1011611113J. Briska1.67911461LMay 16 · 07:00L. Sulava2.2011145113J. Briska1.615121181
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