TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083469
Played Sep 6Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1121416117118––
Martin Stefek
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:29 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Briza to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Frantisek Briza at 56.4%
80 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 2–0 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Briza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Briza 1396 vs Stefek 1388
Briza
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 40% vs Stefek 0%
Briza
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 40% vs Stefek 20%
Briza
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza -1 · Stefek -5
Stefek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Briza) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 1.33 / Stefek 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Briza)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083469
Briza1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it74% 56 of 76
Stefek3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 187 of 430
Down 0–1, comes back23% 56 of 241
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBriza2wins
AwayStefek0wins
Briza leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBrizaStefekB − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.522.5+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 818 vs 571 / 119145.7%47.9%374 / 818 vs 571 / 1191Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrizaBriza 1.33/Stefek 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Briza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 20 · 18:00F. Briza—1111113M. Stefek—6650
WMay 30 · 01:30F. Briza—11117113M. Stefek—191171
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372LSep 2 · 15:00F. Briza2.506650Y. Holovatiuk1.501111113
M. Stefek10
WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113LSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471
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