TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083400
Played Sep 6Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161161214311911
Frantisek Briza
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Briza to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Frantisek Briza at 59.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 3–6 Frantisek Briza Adam Svoboda has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Briza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Briza
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1516 vs Briza 1431
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Briza 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 70% vs Briza 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +1 · Briza +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Briza) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.38 / Briza 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Briza)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083400
Svoboda2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 35 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Briza1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it74% 56 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSvoboda3wins
AwayBriza6wins
4 of 9 to a deciderBriza leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda50%2 of 4
AwayBriza80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda4Briza5n = 9Briza took 5 of 9
S2Svoboda5Briza4n = 9Svoboda took 5 of 9
S3Svoboda5Briza4n = 9Svoboda took 5 of 9
S4Svoboda1Briza5n = 6Briza took 5 of 6
S5Svoboda1Briza3n = 4Briza took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSvobodaBrizaS − BBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.039.6−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 271 vs 376 / 82050.2%45.9%136 / 271 vs 376 / 820Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrizaSvoboda 2.38/Briza 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Briza · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 22 · 17:00A. Svoboda—11911782F. Briza—911511113
LAug 22 · 16:00A. Svoboda—7880F. Briza—1111113
LAug 15 · 20:00A. Svoboda—81360F. Briza—1115113
WAug 8 · 02:00A. Svoboda—41111113F. Briza—116771
LJul 18 · 24:00A. Svoboda—7914131F. Briza—111112153
WJul 17 · 19:30A. Svoboda—1111113F. Briza—4580
LJun 6 · 03:30A. Svoboda—111191052F. Briza—991112113
LJun 5 · 22:30A. Svoboda—41111792F. Briza—116711113
WMay 30 · 24:00A. Svoboda—111148113F. Briza—89111152
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862WSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372LSep 2 · 15:00F. Briza2.506650Y. Holovatiuk1.501111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.