TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059466
Played Sep 2Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611511––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:23 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 50 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 64.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 20–39 Yurii Holovatiuk Frantisek Briza has won 20 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-39 in 59
Holovatiuk
Correct
gap of 19 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1420 vs Holovatiuk 1555
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 40% vs Holovatiuk 20%
Briza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 20% vs Holovatiuk 40%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza +1 · Holovatiuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Holovatiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 2.50 / Holovatiuk 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059466
Briza2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 82 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Holovatiuk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 81 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it78% 54 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza4wins
AwayHolovatiuk6wins
Holovatiuk leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza50%2 of 4
AwayHolovatiuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S2Briza3Holovatiuk7n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S3Briza5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Briza3Holovatiuk3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaHolovatiukB − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.635.5−2.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 822 vs 320 / 64945.7%49.3%376 / 822 vs 320 / 649Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukBriza 2.50/Holovatiuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 15:00F. Briza—6650Y. Holovatiuk—1111113
WAug 28 · 18:30F. Briza—71211113Y. Holovatiuk—1110981
LAug 28 · 17:00F. Briza—117791Y. Holovatiuk—91111113
LAug 28 · 15:30F. Briza—75100Y. Holovatiuk—1111123
LAug 26 · 23:30F. Briza—6370Y. Holovatiuk—1111113
WAug 24 · 18:30F. Briza—17811153Y. Holovatiuk—15117131
WJul 31 · 21:02F. Briza—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—1790
WJul 31 · 19:00F. Briza—71111113Y. Holovatiuk—115681
LJul 31 · 15:30F. Briza—11105101Y. Holovatiuk—51211123
LJul 28 · 23:00F. Briza—6911101Y. Holovatiuk—11118123
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952
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