TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059609
Played Sep 2Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11411131181113117
David Horak
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Horak to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · David Horak below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 100 set 5, 11-7 — our read held David Horak at 60.5%
100 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 36–54 David Horak Frantisek Briza has won 36 of their 90 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Horak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-54 in 90
Horak
Wrong
gap of 18 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1420 vs Horak 1467
Horak
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 20% vs Horak 80%
Horak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 20% vs Horak 70%
Horak
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza -1 · Horak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Horak) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 2.25 / Horak 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Horak)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059609
Briza2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 82 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Horak1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 140 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it95% 77 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it80% 105 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza3wins
AwayHorak7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHorak leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza66.7%2 of 3
AwayHorak85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza3Horak7n = 10Horak took 7 of 10
S2Briza5Horak5n = 10split evenly
S3Briza6Horak4n = 10Briza took 6 of 10
S4Briza4Horak5n = 9Horak took 5 of 9
S5Briza1Horak4n = 5Horak took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaHorakB − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.442.5−1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 822 vs 274 / 50845.7%53.9%376 / 822 vs 274 / 508Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakBriza 2.25/Horak 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 01:00F. Briza—911117142D. Horak—116511163
LAug 15 · 21:04F. Briza—7111071D. Horak—11912113
LAug 15 · 18:30F. Briza—11730D. Horak—1311113
LAug 7 · 22:00F. Briza—551171D. Horak—11119113
LAug 7 · 14:30F. Briza—41111682D. Horak—117211113
WAug 6 · 15:30F. Briza—116511113D. Horak—91111722
WAug 4 · 21:28F. Briza—101111113D. Horak—126861
LAug 4 · 20:00F. Briza—129117192D. Horak—1011411213
LAug 4 · 16:00F. Briza—101191672D. Horak—1261114113
WAug 2 · 02:59F. Briza—11711113D. Horak—911651
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952LSep 2 · 15:00F. Briza2.506650Y. Holovatiuk1.501111113
D. Horak10
LSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 01:30D. Horak2.50116971Y. Holovatiuk1.5071111113WSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:30D. Horak1.801011691K. Darin1.9112811113LSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.571111113D. Horak2.259470WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk1.6751181182D. Horak2.10113118113WSep 4 · 15:00K. Darin1.917911101D. Horak1.8011118123LSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LSep 2 · 17:06D. Horak2.40101040M. Kolar1.511212113
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