TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071636
Played Sep 5Finished
David Horak
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117611911711––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Horak above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 57.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H David Horak 5–10 Yurii Holovatiuk David Horak has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Holovatiuk
Correct
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horak 1454 vs Holovatiuk 1594
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horak 40% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horak 40% vs Holovatiuk 90%
Holovatiuk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horak +1 · Holovatiuk +3
Holovatiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 2.50 / Holovatiuk 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071636
Horak2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 24 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back16% 6 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Holovatiuk1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 84 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it80% 56 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorak3wins
AwayHolovatiuk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorak60%3 of 5
AwayHolovatiuk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horak5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Horak4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S3Horak6Holovatiuk4n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S4Horak2Holovatiuk5n = 7Holovatiuk took 5 of 7
S5Horak1Holovatiuk3n = 4Holovatiuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorakHolovatiukHorak − HolovatiukBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.838.1−2.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 517 vs 327 / 65753.6%49.8%277 / 517 vs 327 / 657Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHorak 2.50/Holovatiuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 17:30D. Horak—9470Y. Holovatiuk—1111113
WSep 4 · 16:00D. Horak—113118113Y. Holovatiuk—51181182
LSep 2 · 14:30D. Horak—1071161Y. Holovatiuk—12118113
WAug 27 · 03:28D. Horak—1311113Y. Holovatiuk—11660
LAug 26 · 22:30D. Horak—115681Y. Holovatiuk—61111113
LAug 15 · 15:30D. Horak—1011591Y. Holovatiuk—12911113
WJul 31 · 18:30D. Horak—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—4850
LJul 31 · 16:00D. Horak—67111182Y. Holovatiuk—111169113
LJul 29 · 16:00D. Horak—111171062Y. Holovatiuk—571112113
LMay 24 · 01:00D. Horak—73111172Y. Holovatiuk—111168113
D. Horak10
LSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113WSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:30D. Horak1.801011691K. Darin1.9112811113LSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.571111113D. Horak2.259470WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk1.6751181182D. Horak2.10113118113WSep 4 · 15:00K. Darin1.917911101D. Horak1.8011118123LSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LSep 2 · 17:06D. Horak2.40101040M. Kolar1.511212113LSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.571111113D. Horak2.259470LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk1.6751181182D. Horak2.10113118113
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