TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071558
Played Sep 4Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7119111181012––
David Horak
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Horak to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · David Horak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 79 set 4, 10-12 — our read held David Horak at 54.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 20–21 David Horak Kyryl Darin has won 20 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Horak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-21 in 41
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1337 vs Horak 1439
Horak
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 20% vs Horak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 10% vs Horak 40%
Horak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -2 · Horak -3
Horak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Horak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.91 / Horak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Horak)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071558
Darin1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 203 of 487
Down 0–1, comes back21% 57 of 271
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 169
Horak1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 135 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it95% 75 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it80% 102 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin8wins
AwayHorak2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin75%6 of 8
AwayHorakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin8Horak2n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S2Darin5Horak5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin6Horak4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S4Darin5Horak4n = 9Darin took 5 of 9
S5Darin4Horak2n = 6Darin took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinHorakD − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match45.342.4+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime749 / 1541 vs 274 / 51148.6%53.6%749 / 1541 vs 274 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakDarin 1.91/Horak 1.80
Hit
What we said
54.3%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Horak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 01:00K. Darin—11812113D. Horak—8111081
WJul 31 · 21:30K. Darin—11813113D. Horak—8111191
LJul 31 · 19:30K. Darin—11124992D. Horak—7101111113
WJul 26 · 20:59K. Darin—61111113D. Horak—117791
LJul 26 · 18:30K. Darin—11891582D. Horak—3111113113
WJul 26 · 14:00K. Darin—1211129113D. Horak—109141182
WJul 11 · 03:30K. Darin—1111123D. Horak—89100
WJul 11 · 02:30K. Darin—911118113D. Horak—11791182
WJul 5 · 20:00K. Darin—114118113D. Horak—71151142
WMay 17 · 12:00K. Darin—119313133D. Horak—8111111112
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113
D. Horak10
LSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 01:30D. Horak2.50116971Y. Holovatiuk1.5071111113WSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:30D. Horak1.801011691K. Darin1.9112811113LSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.571111113D. Horak2.259470WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk1.6751181182D. Horak2.10113118113LSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LSep 2 · 17:06D. Horak2.40101040M. Kolar1.511212113LSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372
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