TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071676
Played Sep 4Finished
David Horak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118611911––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Horak to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingDavid Horak above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held David Horak at 54.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H David Horak 21–20 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 20 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Horak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-20 in 41
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horak 1465 vs Darin 1338
Horak
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horak 40% vs Darin 20%
Horak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horak 50% vs Darin 20%
Horak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horak -1 · Darin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Horak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 1.80 / Darin 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Horak)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071676
Horak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 135 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it95% 75 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it80% 102 of 128
Darin1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 203 of 487
Down 0–1, comes back21% 57 of 271
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorak3wins
AwayDarin7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorak33.3%1 of 3
AwayDarin71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horak3Darin7n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S2Horak5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S3Horak3Darin7n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S4Horak5Darin4n = 9Horak took 5 of 9
S5Horak2Darin3n = 5Darin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorakDarinH − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.444.1−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 514 vs 750 / 154453.7%48.6%276 / 514 vs 750 / 1544Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakHorak 1.80/Darin 1.91
Miss
What we said
54.3%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 15:00D. Horak—11118123K. Darin—7911101
LAug 2 · 01:00D. Horak—8111081K. Darin—11812113
LJul 31 · 21:30D. Horak—8111191K. Darin—11813113
WJul 31 · 19:30D. Horak—7101111113K. Darin—11124992
LJul 26 · 20:59D. Horak—117791K. Darin—61111113
WJul 26 · 18:30D. Horak—3111113113K. Darin—11891582
LJul 26 · 14:00D. Horak—109141182K. Darin—1211129113
LJul 11 · 03:30D. Horak—89100K. Darin—1111123
LJul 11 · 02:30D. Horak—11791182K. Darin—911118113
LJul 5 · 20:00D. Horak—71151142K. Darin—114118113
D. Horak10
LSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 01:30D. Horak2.50116971Y. Holovatiuk1.5071111113WSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.571111113D. Horak2.259470WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk1.6751181182D. Horak2.10113118113WSep 4 · 15:00K. Darin1.917911101D. Horak1.8011118123LSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LSep 2 · 17:06D. Horak2.40101040M. Kolar1.511212113LSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 4 · 15:00K. Darin1.917911101D. Horak1.8011118123
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