TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13080784
Played Sep 5Finished
David Horak
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711711––––
Jan Steffan
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingDavid Horak above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11
54 points played in total.
H2H David Horak 8–3 Jan Steffan Jan Steffan has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Horak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 1.40 / Steffan 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Horak)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13080784
Horak1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 135 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it95% 75 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it80% 102 of 128
Steffan2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 92 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorak8wins
AwaySteffan2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHorak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorak83.3%5 of 6
AwaySteffan25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horak6Steffan4n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S2Horak6Steffan4n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S3Horak8Steffan2n = 10Horak took 8 of 10
S4Horak4Steffan2n = 6Horak took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorakSteffanH − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.030.0+8.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 518 vs 464 / 96553.5%48.1%277 / 518 vs 464 / 965Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakHorak 1.40/Steffan 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 23:30D. Horak—8511101J. Steffan—11118123
WAug 29 · 02:30D. Horak—1111113J. Steffan—4480
WAug 27 · 24:00D. Horak—931111113J. Steffan—11114632
WJun 22 · 16:00D. Horak—1111123J. Steffan—49100
LJun 20 · 01:00D. Horak—116991J. Steffan—81111113
WJun 5 · 20:00D. Horak—5111111113J. Steffan—11413862
WApr 5 · 24:30D. Horak—1111113J. Steffan—4270
WMar 27 · 19:00D. Horak—101113113J. Steffan—1281191
WSep 5 · 20:00D. Horak—1111113J. Steffan—4730
WMar 29 · 10:30D. Horak—11611113J. Steffan—811691
D. Horak10
LSep 5 · 01:30D. Horak2.50116971Y. Holovatiuk1.5071111113WSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:30D. Horak1.801011691K. Darin1.9112811113LSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.571111113D. Horak2.259470WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk1.6751181182D. Horak2.10113118113WSep 4 · 15:00K. Darin1.917911101D. Horak1.8011118123LSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LSep 2 · 17:06D. Horak2.40101040M. Kolar1.511212113LSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372
J. Steffan10
LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172LSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180LSep 5 · 01:00K. Darin1.671112113J. Steffan2.1081040WSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113LSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780
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