TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082754
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119411611––
Jan Trefny
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeJan Trefny to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Jan Trefny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jan Trefny at 61.6%
71 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Trefny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1447 vs Trefny 1592
Trefny
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 40% vs Trefny 80%
Trefny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 30% vs Trefny 60%
Trefny
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan -1 · Trefny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Trefny) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trefny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 2.38 / Trefny 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Trefny)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082754
Steffan2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 93 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 71
Trefny1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 18 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanTrefnyBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 963 vs 42 / 8848%47.7%462 / 963 vs 42 / 88Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrefnySteffan 2.38/Trefny 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Trefny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Trefny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Steffan10
LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180LSep 5 · 01:00K. Darin1.671112113J. Steffan2.1081040WSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113LSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780
J. Trefny10
LSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113WSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741WSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100LSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101WSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110LSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
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