TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083316
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Trefny
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11514127111210––
Filip Jungman
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:40 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJan Trefny to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Trefny above · Filip Jungman below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jan Trefny at 61.7%
82 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:40What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Trefny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Trefny 1617 vs Jungman 1422
Trefny
Correct
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trefny 80% vs Jungman 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trefny 70% vs Jungman 90%
Jungman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trefny +2 · Jungman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Trefny) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jungman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrefny 1.57 / Jungman 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Trefny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083316
Trefny1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 18 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Jungman2.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrefnyJungmanBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 89 vs 91 / 16648.3%54.8%43 / 89 vs 91 / 166Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrefnyTrefny 1.57/Jungman 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Trefny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Trefny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Trefny10
WSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741WSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100LSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113WSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110LSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Trefny2.6341111113J. Dedek1.44117781
F. Jungman10
WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791WAug 21 · 21:28F. Jungman1.831111113Y. Holovatiuk1.837990WAug 21 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk1.73111111532F. Jungman2.00713411113WAug 21 · 19:30F. Jungman1.73981111113J. Steffan2.0011113942
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