TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465749
Played Aug 21Finished
Filip Jungman
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911811113119114
Jan Steffan
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:04 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingFilip Jungman above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 88 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Jan Steffan at 57.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Filip Jungman 2–2 Jan Steffan Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:04What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jungman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jungman 1286 vs Steffan 1480
Steffan
Wrong
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jungman 40% vs Steffan 20%
Jungman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jungman 30% vs Steffan 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jungman +2 · Steffan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Steffan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJungman 1.73 / Steffan 2.00
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Steffan)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12465749
Jungman1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 52 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Steffan2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 87 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back16% 20 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJungman2wins
AwaySteffan2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jungman2Steffan2n = 4split evenly
S2Jungman2Steffan2n = 4split evenly
S3Jungman3Steffan1n = 4Jungman took 3 of 4
S4Jungman2Steffan1n = 3Jungman took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJungmanSteffanJ − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.835.2+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJungmanSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 157 vs 461 / 96152.9%48%83 / 157 vs 461 / 961Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanJungman 1.73/Steffan 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jungman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJun 25 · 21:30F. Jungman—611811102J. Steffan—118118123
LJun 25 · 18:00F. Jungman—651191J. Steffan—11117113
WMar 13 · 24:30F. Jungman—1311113J. Steffan—11570
WMar 11 · 21:30F. Jungman—11611113J. Steffan—711641
F. Jungman10
WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791WAug 21 · 21:28F. Jungman1.831111113Y. Holovatiuk1.837990WAug 21 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk1.73111111532F. Jungman2.00713411113
J. Steffan10
LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180LSep 5 · 01:00K. Darin1.671112113J. Steffan2.1081040WSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.