TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071591
Played Sep 4Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511113811118811
David Horak
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · David Horak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 87 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 57.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 10–5 David Horak David Horak has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Holovatiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Holovatiuk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1574 vs Horak 1465
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 100% vs Horak 40%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Horak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +5 · Horak +1
Holovatiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.67 / Horak 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071591
Holovatiuk1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 84 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it80% 56 of 70
Horak2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 24 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back16% 6 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk7wins
AwayHorak3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk100%5 of 5
AwayHorak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk5Horak5n = 10split evenly
S2Holovatiuk6Horak4n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S3Holovatiuk4Horak6n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk5Horak2n = 7Holovatiuk took 5 of 7
S5Holovatiuk3Horak1n = 4Holovatiuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukHorakHolovatiuk − HorakBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.135.8+2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 655 vs 276 / 51449.6%53.7%325 / 655 vs 276 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.67/Horak 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Horak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk—1111113D. Horak—9470
LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk—51181182D. Horak—113118113
WSep 2 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk—12118113D. Horak—1071161
LAug 27 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk—11660D. Horak—1311113
WAug 26 · 22:30Y. Holovatiuk—61111113D. Horak—115681
WAug 15 · 15:30Y. Holovatiuk—12911113D. Horak—1011591
LJul 31 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk—4850D. Horak—1111113
WJul 31 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk—111169113D. Horak—67111182
WJul 29 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk—571112113D. Horak—111171062
WMay 24 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk—111168113D. Horak—73111172
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
D. Horak10
LSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 01:30D. Horak2.50116971Y. Holovatiuk1.5071111113WSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:30D. Horak1.801011691K. Darin1.9112811113LSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.571111113D. Horak2.259470WSep 4 · 15:00K. Darin1.917911101D. Horak1.8011118123LSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LSep 2 · 17:06D. Horak2.40101040M. Kolar1.511212113LSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372
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