TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082896
Played Sep 6Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118116––––
Lukas Malek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Malek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Lukas Malek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Lukas Malek at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 2–1 Lukas Malek Lukas Malek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Briza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1380 vs Malek 1461
Malek
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 40% vs Malek 20%
Briza
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 40% vs Malek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza -1 · Malek -3
Malek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Briza) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 1.53 / Malek 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Briza)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13082896
Briza1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it74% 56 of 76
Malek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 21 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBriza2wins
AwayMalek1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBriza leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza66.7%2 of 3
AwayMalekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza3Malek0n = 3Briza took 3 of 3
S2Briza2Malek1n = 3Briza took 2 of 3
S3Briza1Malek2n = 3Malek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrizaMalekB − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match42.736.3+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaMalekBasisWin rate · lifetime373 / 816 vs 195 / 40145.7%48.6%373 / 816 vs 195 / 401Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrizaBriza 1.53/Malek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Briza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 4 · 13:30F. Briza—111188113L. Malek—61111192
LApr 4 · 10:30F. Briza—11661182L. Malek—711119113
WFeb 2 · 13:00F. Briza—1511113L. Malek—13360
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372LSep 2 · 15:00F. Briza2.506650Y. Holovatiuk1.501111113
L. Malek10
WSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791LSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113WSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113LSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971WSep 4 · 10:30L. Malek3.00111111123J. Steffan1.367136101LSep 1 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.2511211113L. Malek3.751110861LSep 1 · 12:00L. Malek3.008590D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 1 · 11:30J. Plachy1.446840L. Malek2.631111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Briza
Nothing scheduled
L. Malek
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