TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083173
Played Sep 7Finished
Martin Novak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1315711119116911
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Novak above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 103 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Novak 1487 vs Svoboda 1517
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novak 40% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novak 20% vs Svoboda 70%
Svoboda
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novak -2 · Svoboda +3
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 2.00 / Svoboda 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083173
Novak2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog61% won 14 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back43% 6 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Svoboda1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 50 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 54 vs 139 / 27563%50.6%34 / 54 vs 139 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaNovak 2.00/Svoboda 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svoboda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Novak10
LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591LAug 18 · 24:30J. Didi1.57111188113M. Novak2.2597111182LAug 17 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.441111113M. Novak2.635560LAug 17 · 22:30M. Novak1.806940T. Regner1.911111113LJul 23 · 02:59O. Kucirek1.91512911113M. Novak1.80111011662LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak1.618840R. Hasmanda2.201111113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862WSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.