TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444236
Played Aug 17Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115116––––
Martin Novak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:32 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Martin Novak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 57.5%
49 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 2–0 Martin Novak Martin Novak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bartunek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1439 vs Novak 1530
Novak
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 80% vs Novak 20%
Bartunek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 50% vs Novak 30%
Bartunek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek +4 · Novak -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Bartunek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 1.44 / Novak 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Bartunek)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444236
Bartunek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 95 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it83% 72 of 87
Novak2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog67% won 14 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back50% 6 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBartunek2wins
AwayNovak0wins
Bartunek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBartunekNovakB − NBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.021.5+16.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 636 vs 32 / 4851.4%66.7%327 / 636 vs 32 / 48Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekBartunek 1.44/Novak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 23 · 01:00R. Bartunek—111011113M. Novak—412381
WJul 18 · 22:30R. Bartunek—1111113M. Novak—5560
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113
M. Novak10
LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591LAug 18 · 24:30J. Didi1.57111188113M. Novak2.2597111182LAug 17 · 22:30M. Novak1.806940T. Regner1.911111113LJul 23 · 02:59O. Kucirek1.91512911113M. Novak1.80111011662LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak1.618840R. Hasmanda2.201111113
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