TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444090
Played Aug 18Finished
Julius Didi
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119117811811118
Martin Novak
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Martin Novak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Julius Didi at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 1–0 Martin Novak Martin Novak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Didi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Didi 1489 vs Novak 1511
Novak
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Novak 0%
Didi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 70% vs Novak 30%
Didi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -3 · Novak -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Didi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.57 / Novak 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Didi)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444090
Didi1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 99 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it86% 49 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it72% 71 of 98
Novak2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog67% won 14 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back50% 6 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDidi1wins
AwayNovak0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDidi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDidiNovakD − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.043.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 713 vs 32 / 4951.6%65.3%368 / 713 vs 32 / 49Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiDidi 1.57/Novak 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 27 · 22:00J. Didi—119911113M. Novak—91111842
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113WSep 2 · 23:30J. Didi2.38118119123V. Dolezal1.53411711102
M. Novak10
LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591LAug 17 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.441111113M. Novak2.635560LAug 17 · 22:30M. Novak1.806940T. Regner1.911111113LJul 23 · 02:59O. Kucirek1.91512911113M. Novak1.80111011662LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak1.618840R. Hasmanda2.201111113
Upcoming Matches
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M. Novak
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