TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082661
Played Sep 6Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114811116116––
Martin Novak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Martin Novak below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 2–1 Martin Novak Martin Novak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:58What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Novak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1445 vs Novak 1502
Novak
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 60% vs Novak 40%
Hasmanda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 60% vs Novak 40%
Hasmanda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda +1 · Novak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hasmanda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 1.83 / Novak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hasmanda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082661
Hasmanda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Novak1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHasmanda2wins
AwayNovak1wins
Hasmanda leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda66.7%2 of 3
AwayNovakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda3Novak0n = 3Hasmanda took 3 of 3
S2Hasmanda1Novak2n = 3Novak took 2 of 3
S3Hasmanda2Novak1n = 3Hasmanda took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHasmandaNovakH − NBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match36.328.7+7.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 785 vs 34 / 5349.6%64.2%389 / 785 vs 34 / 53Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaHasmanda 1.83/Novak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda—11811113M. Novak—411661
WJul 23 · 02:00R. Hasmanda—1111113M. Novak—8840
LJul 9 · 12:30R. Hasmanda—119691M. Novak—61111113
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143WSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113LSep 2 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.801111410113R. Hasmanda1.9149111292
M. Novak10
LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591LAug 18 · 24:30J. Didi1.57111188113M. Novak2.2597111182LAug 17 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.441111113M. Novak2.635560LAug 17 · 22:30M. Novak1.806940T. Regner1.911111113LJul 23 · 02:59O. Kucirek1.91512911113M. Novak1.80111011662LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak1.618840R. Hasmanda2.201111113
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