TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12277442
Played Jul 23Finished
Martin Novak
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811411––––
Rotislav Hasmanda
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Novak to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Novak above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 53 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Martin Novak at 55.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Martin Novak 1–1 Rotislav Hasmanda Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Novak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Novak 1556 vs Hasmanda 1428
Novak
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novak 40% vs Hasmanda 20%
Novak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novak 50% vs Hasmanda 30%
Novak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novak -1 · Hasmanda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Novak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 1.61 / Hasmanda 2.20
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Novak)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12277442
Novak1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite75% won 18 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Hasmanda2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 69 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNovak1wins
AwayHasmanda1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricNovakHasmandaN − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match29.534.0−4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 46 vs 398 / 79869.6%49.9%32 / 46 vs 398 / 798Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakNovak 1.61/Hasmanda 2.20
Miss
What we said
64.7%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak—8840R. Hasmanda—1111113
WJul 9 · 12:30M. Novak—61111113R. Hasmanda—119691
M. Novak10
LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591LAug 18 · 24:30J. Didi1.57111188113M. Novak2.2597111182LAug 17 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.441111113M. Novak2.635560LAug 17 · 22:30M. Novak1.806940T. Regner1.911111113LJul 23 · 02:59O. Kucirek1.91512911113M. Novak1.80111011662
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143WSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113
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