TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13090235
Played Sep 7Finished
Lubor Sulava
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115811119116––
Martin Novak
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Martin Novak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6
72 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 1–2 Martin Novak Lubor Sulava has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Novak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 2.10 / Novak 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Novak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13090235
Sulava2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 59 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Novak1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 19 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSulava1wins
AwayNovak2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderNovak leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava2Novak1n = 3Sulava took 2 of 3
S2Sulava1Novak2n = 3Novak took 2 of 3
S3Sulava2Novak1n = 3Sulava took 2 of 3
S4Sulava1Novak2n = 3Novak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSulavaNovakS − NBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.744.3−1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 970 vs 34 / 5549.6%61.8%481 / 970 vs 34 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakSulava 2.10/Novak 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava—14616113M. Novak—12111471
LJun 2 · 03:30L. Sulava—11119762M. Novak—681111113
LJun 1 · 23:30L. Sulava—7111181M. Novak—11137113
L. Sulava10
WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342LAug 31 · 17:30L. Sulava1.73411111162M. Barta2.00118813113WAug 31 · 16:30M. Syroha2.501091351L. Sulava1.50121111113
M. Novak10
LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591LAug 18 · 24:30J. Didi1.57111188113M. Novak2.2597111182LAug 17 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.441111113M. Novak2.635560LAug 17 · 22:30M. Novak1.806940T. Regner1.911111113LJul 23 · 02:59O. Kucirek1.91512911113M. Novak1.80111011662LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak1.618840R. Hasmanda2.201111113
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