TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13053858
Played Aug 31Finished
Lubor Sulava
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111181181113611
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:06 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeLubor Sulava to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Lubor Sulava at 56.2%
94 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 5–5 Miroslav Barta Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sulava
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulava 1467 vs Barta 1278
Sulava
Wrong
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulava 100% vs Barta 60%
Sulava
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulava 90% vs Barta 40%
Sulava
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulava +5 · Barta +2
Sulava
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sulava)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 1.73 / Barta 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Sulava)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13053858
Sulava1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 122 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it84% 90 of 107
Barta2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 65 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulava5wins
AwayBarta5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulava71.4%5 of 7
AwayBarta100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava7Barta3n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10
S2Sulava3Barta7n = 10Barta took 7 of 10
S3Sulava8Barta2n = 10Sulava took 8 of 10
S4Sulava3Barta3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulavaBartaS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.432.7+2.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 978 vs 217 / 46749.6%46.5%485 / 978 vs 217 / 467Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulavaSulava 1.73/Barta 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Sulava · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Barta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 16:00L. Sulava—11311113M. Barta—711441
WAug 29 · 11:00L. Sulava—1116113M. Barta—51480
LAug 23 · 16:59L. Sulava—117100M. Barta—1311123
LAug 23 · 16:00L. Sulava—951161M. Barta—11114113
WAug 22 · 15:00L. Sulava—111183M. Barta—8530
LAug 9 · 09:30L. Sulava—54111182M. Barta—111177113
LAug 9 · 06:30L. Sulava—118971M. Barta—41111113
WJul 18 · 08:58L. Sulava—1112113M. Barta—81070
LJul 18 · 08:30L. Sulava—11511782M. Barta—311811113
WMar 4 · 20:30L. Sulava—11811113M. Barta—811671
L. Sulava10
WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342WAug 31 · 16:30M. Syroha2.501091351L. Sulava1.50121111113
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870
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