TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083327
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Novak
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116113––––
Petr Bruzek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:40 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Novak to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Novak above · Petr Bruzek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 48 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Martin Novak at 58.9%
48 points played in total.
H2H Martin Novak 1–0 Petr Bruzek Petr Bruzek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Novak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Novak 1510 vs Bruzek 1327
Novak
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novak 20% vs Bruzek 0%
Novak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novak 30% vs Bruzek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Novak +1 · Bruzek -5
Bruzek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Novak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bruzek form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 1.57 / Bruzek 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Novak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083327
Novak1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 19 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Bruzek2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 30 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNovak1wins
AwayBruzek0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNovak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNovakBruzekN − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match50.042.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakBruzekBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 51 vs 177 / 38464.7%46.1%33 / 51 vs 177 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakNovak 1.57/Bruzek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Novak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 1 · 02:00M. Novak—1111116113P. Bruzek—13451192
M. Novak10
LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591LAug 18 · 24:30J. Didi1.57111188113M. Novak2.2597111182LAug 17 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.441111113M. Novak2.635560LAug 17 · 22:30M. Novak1.806940T. Regner1.911111113LJul 23 · 02:59O. Kucirek1.91512911113M. Novak1.80111011662LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak1.618840R. Hasmanda2.201111113
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122LAug 31 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.2096110V. Dolezal1.611111133
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