TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058321
Played Sep 2Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118118––––
Petr Bruzek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Petr Bruzek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 11–14 Petr Bruzek Vaclav Dolezal has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Bruzek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1478 vs Bruzek 1380
Dolezal
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 40% vs Bruzek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 50% vs Bruzek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -3 · Bruzek -1
Dolezal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.44 / Bruzek 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Dolezal)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058321
Dolezal1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 133 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it81% 98 of 121
Bruzek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 30 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal6wins
AwayBruzek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal71.4%5 of 7
AwayBruzek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal7Bruzek3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Dolezal7Bruzek3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S3Dolezal6Bruzek4n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S4Dolezal3Bruzek3n = 6split evenly
S5Dolezal1Bruzek2n = 3Bruzek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalBruzekD − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.733.7+5.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalBruzekBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 741 vs 179 / 38449.3%46.6%365 / 741 vs 179 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.44/Bruzek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal—1111113P. Bruzek—7680
WAug 31 · 01:00V. Dolezal—1111133P. Bruzek—96110
WAug 20 · 23:30V. Dolezal—1111113P. Bruzek—6480
WJun 28 · 22:30V. Dolezal—1111113P. Bruzek—5790
LMay 10 · 19:30V. Dolezal—11871122P. Bruzek—511119113
WMar 4 · 03:00V. Dolezal—111110113P. Bruzek—831291
LFeb 7 · 10:00V. Dolezal—1461181P. Bruzek—121113113
LFeb 7 · 08:30V. Dolezal—971111162P. Bruzek—111165183
WFeb 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal—911114113P. Bruzek—11231172
LFeb 2 · 19:00V. Dolezal—911391P. Bruzek—11811103
V. Dolezal10
LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:00V. Dolezal2.00911861A. Svoboda1.7311611113LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Stefek2.201191011123V. Dolezal1.61911129102LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Svoboda1.839111413123V. Dolezal1.831151611102WSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122LAug 31 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.2096110V. Dolezal1.611111133
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.