TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071683
Played Sep 5Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116811611––
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 5–7 Adam Svoboda Vaclav Dolezal has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Svoboda
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1472 vs Svoboda 1501
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 20% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 40% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -1 · Svoboda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 2.00 / Svoboda 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071683
Dolezal2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 45 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 47
Svoboda1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 46 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal3wins
AwaySvoboda7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal60%3 of 5
AwaySvoboda100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal5Svoboda5n = 10split evenly
S2Dolezal5Svoboda5n = 10split evenly
S3Dolezal6Svoboda4n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S4Dolezal3Svoboda4n = 7Svoboda took 4 of 7
S5Dolezal1Svoboda5n = 6Svoboda took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalSvobodaD − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.641.8−2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 751 vs 132 / 26549.1%49.8%369 / 751 vs 132 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaDolezal 2.00/Svoboda 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 18:30V. Dolezal—1151611102A. Svoboda—9111413123
LAug 23 · 13:00V. Dolezal—81111452A. Svoboda—115811113
WAug 23 · 10:00V. Dolezal—1111113A. Svoboda—5480
LAug 23 · 09:30V. Dolezal—85111392A. Svoboda—1111711113
WAug 23 · 06:30V. Dolezal—117115113A. Svoboda—71181192
WAug 22 · 12:30V. Dolezal—1113123A. Svoboda—711100
LMay 16 · 03:29V. Dolezal—712861A. Svoboda—111011113
LMay 15 · 23:00V. Dolezal—7750A. Svoboda—1111113
LMay 9 · 24:00V. Dolezal—11781142A. Svoboda—711114113
LDec 1 · 04:00V. Dolezal—111491162A. Svoboda—1312114113
V. Dolezal10
LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Stefek2.201191011123V. Dolezal1.61911129102LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Svoboda1.839111413123V. Dolezal1.831151611102WSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862WSep 4 · 18:30A. Svoboda1.839111413123V. Dolezal1.831151611102
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