TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065236
Played Sep 2Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141194111012119
Rotislav Hasmanda
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9
92 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 3–2 Rotislav Hasmanda Rotislav Hasmanda has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hasmanda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.80 / Hasmanda 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hasmanda)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065236
Svoboda1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 43 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Hasmanda1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 67 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSvoboda3wins
AwayHasmanda2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSvoboda leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda100%3 of 3
AwayHasmandan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda3Hasmanda2n = 5Svoboda took 3 of 5
S2Svoboda3Hasmanda2n = 5Svoboda took 3 of 5
S3Svoboda2Hasmanda3n = 5Hasmanda took 3 of 5
S4Svoboda3Hasmanda0n = 3Svoboda took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSvobodaHasmandaS − HBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match36.433.6+2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 259 vs 392 / 79049%49.6%127 / 259 vs 392 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaSvoboda 1.80/Hasmanda 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 2 · 12:00A. Svoboda—12811113R. Hasmanda—1011841
LAug 24 · 11:00A. Svoboda—61171192R. Hasmanda—119118113
LAug 22 · 14:30A. Svoboda—81030R. Hasmanda—111253
WDec 30 · 24:00A. Svoboda—11118113R. Hasmanda—771161
WDec 20 · 24:00A. Svoboda—1111123R. Hasmanda—79100
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143WSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113
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