TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071890
Played Sep 5Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115711117111––
Roman Urban
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Roman Urban below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 64 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 70.4%
64 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 7–3 Roman Urban Roman Urban has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Svoboda
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1479 vs Urban 1472
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Urban 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 80% vs Urban 50%
Svoboda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -1 · Urban +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.36 / Urban 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071890
Svoboda1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 46 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Urban3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 10 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvoboda7wins
AwayUrban3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda75%6 of 8
AwayUrbann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda8Urban2n = 10Svoboda took 8 of 10
S2Svoboda8Urban2n = 10Svoboda took 8 of 10
S3Svoboda4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S4Svoboda3Urban4n = 7Urban took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvobodaUrbanS − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.633.5+4.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 267 vs 71 / 13449.8%53%133 / 267 vs 71 / 134Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.36/Urban 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 16 · 01:30A. Svoboda—14118113R. Urban—1271151
WMay 9 · 01:30A. Svoboda—1111113R. Urban—0780
WApr 18 · 24:00A. Svoboda—1111113R. Urban—8870
WApr 11 · 02:30A. Svoboda—1115113R. Urban—61340
WMar 28 · 01:30A. Svoboda—11148113R. Urban—9121181
LMar 21 · 03:59A. Svoboda—1189151R. Urban—81111173
WMar 21 · 03:00A. Svoboda—11119113R. Urban—361141
WMar 13 · 23:30A. Svoboda—311116113R. Urban—11981162
LMar 7 · 01:00A. Svoboda—811721R. Urban—11811113
LFeb 28 · 02:30A. Svoboda—113881R. Urban—91111113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862
R. Urban10
LSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471WSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172LSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352WAug 29 · 02:59P. Bruzek2.5011118822R. Urban1.50751111113LAug 29 · 02:00R. Urban1.7311101371J. Didi2.0081215113WAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260LAug 29 · 24:00M. Stefek2.381111113R. Urban1.534890WAug 28 · 22:30P. Bruzek1.91118561R. Urban1.8071111113LAug 16 · 03:29V. Dolezal2.1011115113R. Urban1.67871131
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