TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030388
Played Aug 29Finished
Roman Urban
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11810121315711––
Julius Didi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Urban above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 87 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Roman Urban at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Roman Urban 0–1 Julius Didi Roman Urban has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:20What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Urban 1442 vs Didi 1434
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 40% vs Didi 20%
Urban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 50% vs Didi 20%
Urban
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban +1 · Didi -3
Didi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 1.73 / Didi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Urban)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030388
Urban1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 36 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Didi2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 92 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back18% 19 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeUrban0wins
AwayDidi1wins
Didi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricUrbanDidiU − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.046.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 130 vs 378 / 73352.3%51.6%68 / 130 vs 378 / 733Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanUrban 1.73/Didi 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 29 · 02:00R. Urban—11101371J. Didi—81215113
R. Urban10
LSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240LSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711WSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471WSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172LSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352WAug 29 · 02:59P. Bruzek2.5011118822R. Urban1.50751111113WAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260LAug 29 · 24:00M. Stefek2.381111113R. Urban1.534890WAug 28 · 22:30P. Bruzek1.91118561R. Urban1.8071111113LAug 16 · 03:29V. Dolezal2.1011115113R. Urban1.67871131
J. Didi10
LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113
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